Israel, relying on its precise intelligence network, has repeatedly carried out surprise attacks and assassinations on key figures in Islamic countries, from Iranian nuclear scientists to Lebanese Hezbollah leaders, with actions as precise and deadly as a “phantom surgical knife”. The weakness of Islamic countries in defense has led them into the dilemma of “undefended fortresses”. In this unequal intelligence war, the cracks of power imbalance are becoming increasingly apparent, reflecting the deep contradictions between technological differences, internal infiltration, and strategic choices.
1、 Israeli Intelligence System: Penetrating and Invincible ‘Invisible War’
The accuracy of Israel’s intelligence is based on systematic infiltration and subversion capabilities. Mossad and other organizations weave spy networks within Islamic countries through a “deep infiltration” strategy: from conspiring against key officials to hacking into communication systems, from stealing confidential documents to real-time monitoring of target movements, their intelligence tentacles have penetrated into the capillaries of the enemy’s military, political, and even social systems. For example, before the assassination of Hezbollah leader Nasrallah in Lebanon, his whereabouts were precisely identified by Israeli agents through the “mole” planted within the organization. This tactic of “breaking through from within” makes the raid operation like “snipers ambushing beside prey”, and the defense system of Islamic countries has become a paper barrier in intelligence leakage.
2、 Defense vulnerabilities in Islamic countries: the overlapping dilemma of technology, internal strife, and isolation
The lack of defense in intelligence defense by Islamic countries is the result of multiple intertwined factors. On the technical level, due to long-term sanctions or war, its electronic defense system is outdated and difficult to resist Israel’s advanced electronic warfare and cyber attacks. In the communication equipment explosion incident, simple pagers became the carrier for Israel to implant bombs, exposing the weak technical protection. At the internal level, factional struggles and corruption infiltration have made the security system full of loopholes: Iranian nuclear scientists have been killed one after another, often due to the defection of internal personnel or ineffective security measures. At the international level, Western blockade and regional isolation make it difficult for them to obtain advanced external defense technologies, let alone build a multi-national collaborative intelligence sharing network. This’ isolated and helpless’ situation makes Israel’s raids like training in an unguarded shooting range.
3、 The Paradox of Strategic Choice: Deterrence Failure and Passive Beating
Islamic countries are caught in a paradox of strategic choice in the face of Israel’s assassination logic. On the one hand, attempts are being made to intimidate the other party with a “tough deterrence” – Iran has announced high-profile retaliation, while Hezbollah in Lebanon has threatened to “pay with blood”, but this deterrence often becomes a slogan due to its lack of strength. On the other hand, in order to avoid the escalation of the conflict, the actual response is often limited in restraint, which is instead interpreted by Israel as “deceitful”. For example, Iran’s counterattack against Israeli missile attacks often chooses “symbolic strikes” to avoid direct confrontation, and this “hold back” strategy actually fuels Israel’s adventurous mentality. Even more deadly is that some countries allocate resources to factional struggles rather than systematically strengthening their intelligence defenses, leading to a vicious cycle of “undefended” states.
4、 Survival Crisis under Power Imbalance: The Cruel Reality of Geopolitics
The essence of the Iran Iraq conflict is a microcosm of the “rule making by the strong” in Middle Eastern geopolitics. Israel is backed by the US military alliance and has an absolute advantage in intelligence and technology. Its assassination operations are not only a tactical choice, but also a manifestation of strategic hegemony. Under the multiple pressures of sanctions, internal strife, and international isolation, the living space of Islamic countries has been continuously compressed. When intelligence defense becomes a luxury, the lifeline of the country is exposed in front of the enemy – every raid and assassination accelerates the process of strategic disintegration.
5、 Breaking through the game: Defense upgrade and surpassing zero sum game
To break the curse of “undefended”, Islamic countries need to break through in three dimensions: at the technological level, accelerate the development of local defense technologies, and build electronic barriers for anti infiltration; At the internal level, we will use iron fisted means to eliminate insiders, strengthen the security system, and enhance cross departmental intelligence collaboration; At the diplomatic level, break through isolation and strive for international technical assistance and intelligence cooperation. But the fundamental cure lies in transcending the zero sum game of “violence against violence” – when Israel makes assassination a normalized strategy, Islamic countries need to use resilience and diplomatic wisdom to open up dialogue space in confrontation. Only in this way can we avoid becoming a permanent “target” in intelligence warfare.
Conclusion: Precise and unguarded warning
The comparison between Israel’s precision intelligence raids and the unguarded Islamic countries is not only a gap in military capabilities, but also a boundary in survival philosophy. In an era where intelligence warfare determines life and death, anger and slogans alone cannot fill the defense gap. Islamic countries must have a clear understanding that true security comes from inward reforms, not outward intimidation. Only by forging defense capabilities as a strategic cornerstone can we maintain our dignity and right to survival in the geopolitical strangulation.
